Expat Financial Advice | Wealth Building | Financial Behaviour

The real reason the stock market crashed (and what smart investors are doing)

Written by Sam Instone | 07-Apr-2025 09:54:50

The stock market's crashing... again. But this time, it might've all started with one man — and a tariff announcement that rattled the world.

You've seen the headlines.

Markets tumbling.

Analysts shouting about bear territory.

News tickers flashing red.

But behind this latest drop isn't some mysterious force. It's a move that caught most investors off guard: Donald Trump launching a fresh volley of tariffs — this time, broader, bolder, and with timing that spooked global markets.

So, is this the start of a proper global meltdown? Or just another overreaction that'll fade like the rest?

Let's break down exactly what triggered the fall, what it really means for your investments, and how to make smart decisions while everyone else is losing their heads.

The trigger: Tariffs and market reaction

The most recent sharp drop in global markets wasn't random. It was kicked off by Trump's announcement of sweeping new tariffs — aimed not just at China this time, but a host of major US trade partners.

Markets hate uncertainty. And this move didn't just raise eyebrows — it triggered a full-blown spike in volatility. The reaction was immediate: the FTSE, S&P 500, Nikkei — all sharply down. Trillions were wiped off global indices as investors started dumping riskier assets and scrambling for safety.

But before we jump into panic mode let's be clear — this isn't about fundamentals falling apart. Companies haven't stopped making profits overnight. Your investment in Unilever or Microsoft hasn't suddenly become worthless.

Markets move based on how investors feel about what might happen next. Right now, the fear is that a full-blown trade war could choke global growth, slam earnings, and maybe trigger a global recession. But those are maybes. They're scenarios, not certainties.

Volatility like this? It's normal. It's not unusual. Market drops — even big ones — are completely standard. Every single year, the market has temporary drops. Most years, it falls 10-15% at some point but ends the year up. These drops are part of the deal.

 

Source: Albion Strategic Consulting. Data: Vanguard Glb Stk Idx $ Acc

The currency effect

If you're investing from the UK, you've likely noticed something else: this dip feels worse than expected. That's partly down to currency moves.

Back in 2022, markets dropped around 26%, but because the pound was falling against the dollar, UK investors didn't feel the full hit.

This time? Sterling has climbed roughly 8% since January — so dollar-based holdings now look worse on paper. The market's down and the currency effect is working against you. It's a double whammy.

The waiting game trap

It's tempting to "wait it out" — but that's a trap. Let's say you've got $2 million invested. You see it drop to $1.85m and think, "Right, let's pause until things calm down."

Here's the problem: by the time things feel "safe" again, markets have usually rebounded. Miss the 10 best days in a given year, and your returns could be cut in half. The biggest up days almost always follow the worst down days — and they don't send a calendar invite. They just show up.

Source: Albion Strategic Consulting. Albion World Equity Index (https://smartersuccess.net/indices). Jul-07 to Dec-24. Daily returns in USD.

Think of it like flying through turbulence. You wouldn't get off a plane mid-air just because it got bumpy. Market drops are the same. Turbulence feels unpleasant, sure — but the plane is still flying towards its destination. Jumping out mid-flight is rarely the smart option.

And then we have the financial headlines. No one clicks on "Markets down slightly, totally normal." Instead, you get "Global Stocks PLUNGE" and "Investors Panic Amid Crash Fears." It sells — but it also fuels anxiety.

This is where having a proper investment strategy makes all the difference. A good Life Strategy or cashflow financial plan already assumes this would happen. When we build serious portfolios, they're not based on wishful thinking. They're built to weather exactly this sort of thing.

They include cash buffers, defensive assets such as short-dated bonds, and global diversification to ride out storms. 'War chests' and asset allocation strategies are carefully designed and tested for times just like these. This isn't the time to change strategy. It's the time to trust that your strategy already accounted for this.

The emotional challenge

Watching your portfolio drop — even if you know it's temporary — is tough. That sinking feeling in your gut? That's totally normal. But making decisions based on fear is where the damage happens.

History shows us: those who stay invested recover. Those who panic and pull out often miss the recovery.

Let's run a quick thought experiment. You pull your money out today and sit in cash. Markets rebound in three months. Do you get back in then? Or do you wait longer — just in case? By the time you feel confident again, you've missed the best part of the recovery.

This is where real investors earn their return. Long-term results come from staying the course during times like this. Not from clever trades. Not from trying to "call the bottom." But from holding your nerve when it feels uncomfortable. It's why the most successful investors aren't the smartest — they're the most disciplined.

Perspective is everything.

Zoom out 1 year, 3 years, 5 years — this dip looks like a blip. Zoom in 1 week, and it looks like the world's ending. Where you put your focus matters. Investing is about playing the long game. Trying to micromanage every bump along the way only creates stress and missed opportunities.

Of course, it's easy to say "stay calm" when it's not your money. What if you're the one watching your family's portfolio drop six figures in a week? What if this money's supposed to support your retirement, your kids, your future? That fear is real. And it makes people want to do something. Anything.

But reacting emotionally is often what hurts long-term returns.

Take one client who had $1.2m invested across global equities. In a sharp dip, it fell to just over $1m. Understandably worried, they asked if it was time to de-risk. But after walking through the data — the recovery patterns, the built-in protections — they stayed put.

Six months later, the portfolio was back up, and by year-end, had grown past its original peak. No magic. No timing. Just time IN. Time, patience, and discipline.

The truth is, this market drop may not be the worst we've seen. It won't be the last. And it's not a big surprise. It's not even unusual. It's a normal part of investing.

The people who come out ahead aren't the ones who read the most headlines or make the most trades. They're the ones who stay calm, stick to their plan, and trust the process.

Because in investing, behavior beats brilliance every single time.

Moving forward

Yes, Trump's tariff announcement sent shockwaves through the market. Yes, global stocks have taken a big hit. And yes, it feels unsettling to watch your portfolio drop.

But history tells us these moments don't last forever. Markets recover. New highs come. And those who stay invested — stay smart — are the ones who benefit most.

You don't need to be clever.

You just need to be steady.

Image created using Ideogram AI.